Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.919525 26.535941 30.469937 35.058454 40.254236 45.945679 52.642469
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.213420 21.008190 26.750386 34.091798 43.181876 54.017778 67.857797
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 12.639718 17.916243 24.732846 34.088906 46.485699 62.223482 83.568567
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 10.356658 15.839318 23.386551 34.370232 49.747443 70.278387 99.479106
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.045423 13.217398 20.771501 32.374213 49.451347 73.307461 108.699503
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.075718 12.350622 20.448112 33.454687 53.400161 82.306063 126.670479
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.459861 11.907263 20.649373 35.257843 58.479115 93.222379 148.127339
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.437851 10.611388 19.305895 34.437913 59.388050 97.939968 160.677064
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.467036 9.230977 17.614130 32.802463 58.758890 100.139712 169.411962
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.243582 9.171743 18.159958 34.957167 64.460855 112.627700 195.000476
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.184449 9.411850 19.252193 38.148750 72.142296 128.793452 227.476649
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.756803 8.849299 18.791200 38.485563 74.888665 136.982286 247.408507
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.243137 8.055297 17.848288 37.942049 76.232406 143.261564 265.235951
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.742533 7.203991 16.687063 36.868777 76.553116 147.891283 280.778234
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.413153 6.676160 16.107381 36.858561 78.838317 156.125265 303.135380
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.154318 6.264218 15.710182 37.158774 81.721997 165.612617 328.312345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.758327 5.425433 14.242832 35.018040 79.543931 165.552843 336.132992
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.632073 5.265287 14.299965 36.176761 84.144894 178.562460 368.885829
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.562381 5.246539 14.687537 38.109960 90.512130 195.377815 409.792030
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.348324 4.770758 13.889608 37.230983 90.815426 200.329730 428.327564
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.123527 4.208574 12.782419 35.477292 89.028666 200.945823 438.425675
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.101850 4.275785 13.328558 37.787647 96.473875 220.790115 487.625625
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.122541 4.485353 14.284126 41.207860 106.695048 246.951981 550.823236